Macro Calendar Risk
RADAR
Calendar-based risk scoring based on proximity to FOMC meetings and CPI releases. No surprises — every date is known in advance.
How RADAR scores
Fed Blackout Period
Fed goes silent 10 days before a meeting
FOMC within 3 days
Highest volatility window around decisions
FOMC within 7 days
Pre-meeting caution zone
FOMC within 14 days
Mild elevated risk
CPI within 3 days
Inflation print = high volatility
CPI within 7 days
Pre-CPI positioning noise
Penalties stack. A day close to both an FOMC and CPI event can score as low as −6. Scores above 0 are clamped to 0 — RADAR only measures downside risk.
Upcoming events
Last 30 days
How RADAR fits with COMPASS
COMPASS measures market risk appetite (macro signals, momentum, credit spreads). RADAR measures calendar risk — it tells you when uncertainty is scheduled, not whether the market is bullish or bearish.
A COMPASS score of +4 on an FOMC day is still a +4 — the macro is constructive. RADAR adds context: "proceed, but know there's a scheduled volatility event today."Use RADAR to size down or wait for confirmation, not to flip direction.